Monday, 31 May 2010

Lecture 3 - Climate change adaptation in Southeast Asia

Lecture: Climate change adaptation in Southeast Asia
Bernadette Resurreccion
Asian Institute of Technology

Article: Climate adaptation in Asia: Knowledge gaps and research issues in South East Asia
Bernadette Resurreccion, Edsel E. Sajor, Elizabeth Fajber

---***---***---

The lecture was a report about research for the article, in effect a report about research about what to research. To the über-critical it might be considered as reflecting one of the major shortcomings of the world response to climate change; many meetings (e.g. Rio de Janeiro, Kyoto Bali, Copenhagen), much talk, but limited concrete action.

Key concepts presented in the lecture were adaptation and vulnerability. The former describes how communities react, or adapt, to climate changes, and the latter the degree to which communities are exposed to climate changes to which they are unable to, or find it difficult to, adapt.

The lecturer’s key thesis was that vulnerability should be the focus and starting point in climate change debate, and consequently it is a development issue rather than purely an environment issue. I would agree with this standpoint. However, the social, political and economic implications then become enormous – vulnerability is a result of being socially and economically disadvantaged, implying that the whole current economic and political system needs changing; hardly a position likely to endear people to the current political elite. The research ascertained ‘hotspots of vulnerability,’ which broadly matched economic and social development. On a national level, the SEA nations least vulnerable are the wealthiest on the UN Human Development Index. At a local level, it is the poorest who suffer most – a rich man can move to a house on a hill to avoid flooding, a rich woman can ensure that her home is constructed properly and able to withstand hurricane-force winds.

When considering the response to climate change, attention was drawn to the question of at what level planning for climate change should occur; local, meso, or national. It was claimed that the hierarchical, paternalistic, and patronage-based political systems of many SEA nations hindered concrete actions and local responses. The political system certainly affects climate change response in SEA – expensive technical fixes, e.g. dams and seawalls, allow opportunities for lucrative kickbacks, and make for good photo opportunities. NGO-based activities can easily be seen as a threat to political elites; someone else is taking charge. An aspect of NGO work not mentioned is that many NGOs in the field are western-based or western-inspired, consequently open to being criticized as neo-colonialism through the back door, or white-men telling brown-men what to do. If NGOs want to help they need to work through the current political system not in competition with it. In Malaysia and Indonesia the mutual aid concept of gotong royong could be used for concrete actions, allowing local political leaders to feel that climate change responses are a natural part of their culture and allowing them to be seen publicly as men/women of action and close to the people. To some extent this is already happening with clean-up actions in urban areas, or canal and river-cleaning programmes.

It was stated in the lecture that there was broad consensus on the likely effects of climate change, i.e. changing rainfall patterns, salt-water intrusion, storm surges, and stronger cyclones. Adaptation strategies to such changes can be divided into a number of areas; technical, societal-community, and individual. The technical strategies basically encompass infrastructural changes and increased knowledge. When considering infrastructural changes, one important question is who will pay. In view of the massive investment needed, some way of harnessing the profit-motive needs to be found. SEA governments cannot afford all the necessary infrastructural changes (reinforcing bridges, seawalls and flood barriers, moving vulnerable communities to different areas, building improved irrigation systems, developing effective sewage- and waste-management etc) and western development aid budgets are not even in the same league. Investment in research, i.e. increased knowledge, is one important area. In my opinion development of salt-tolerant rice strains should be a priority. In the area of societal-community adaptation strategies, knowledge dissemination and concrete, small-scale actions are key. At the individual adaptation strategies scale many strategies were noted, varying from late sowing of crops to temporary migration to urban areas, from diversification of livelihood sources to buying insurance. Poverty is a great incentive for creativity; Nobel-prize winner Muhammad Yunus’s insight leading to the micro-credit movement was that the poor do not lack the ability to adapt and develop, they merely lack the means.

In both the article and lecture there was one element that in my opinion was under-emphasized, namely that the majority of environmental problems are caused not by climate change but what may be termed environment abuse. This takes many forms: uncontrolled logging, illegal sand dredging, building on unstable slopes (often with terrible consequences like the Bukit Antarabangsa tragedy in December 2008), fly dumping of industrial waste, failure to meet pollution norms (a problem easily solved with duit kopi – ‘coffee money’), embezzlement of road and infrastructure monies (leading to substandard construction), uncontrolled urban expansion (leading to a greater risk of flash floods), mono-cropping (e.g. gigantic oil palm plantations), and many more. In the light of such localized, current and concrete problems, the risks of anthropogenic climate change take on a much lower priority.

Lecture 2 - Peace and war in Southeast Asia

Lecture: Peace and War in Southeast Asia: Trends and challenges
Timo Kivimäki
Nordic Institute of Asian Studies

Article: The Nature of Southeast Asian Security Challenges
Jürgen Rüland
University of Freiburg

---***---***---

The article and the lecture complemented each other in that both presented a similar view of the security situation in SEA. The key points were:

  • SEA has conflict patterns and reactions to conflict that are typical for the region.
  • ASEAN has significantly reduced conflict, particularly inter-state conflict.
  • Intra-state conflicts currently pose the greatest challenges.
  • Changes in SEA society (e.g. democratization, more free and vociferous media) mean that SEA nations will have to adopt different approaches to handling conflict. Rüland wants greater recognition of the interdependency of conflicts, while Kivimäki proposes solutions based on customary law, national reconciliation and international assistance.

Kivimäki stressed the fact that ASEAN membership correlated with a significant drop in violence and conflict but from the lecture it was not clear to what extent this was a cause or an effect.

While the list of conflicts was long: Philippines – migrants and locals (Mindanao); Burma – state and ethnic groups, ethnic groups and sub-ethnic groups, state and democratic forces; Thailand – separatist groups in Southern Thailand, state and opposition (urban and rural, wealthy and poor); Indonesia – separatist (Papua, Aceh), migrants and locals (Kalimantan), the causes are broadly similar to those found throughout the world, as Rüland (p558) puts it:
“The conflicts are usually shaped by previous interactions, socio-economic disparities, experiences of political and cultural discrimination, and single traumatic incidents that are revitalized by the collective memory whenever inter-ethnic relations deteriorate.”

An interesting point was the distinction between conflict resolution and conflict management. The claim was made that SEA states conducted conflict management not conflict resolution, thus not bringing conflicts to a conclusion. The SEA approach can be found in most other conflicts, for example, the Good Friday agreement in Northern Ireland has not finally and irrevocably resolved the status of the province; it manages the status and sets rules for actions. Likewise, my opinion is that the agreement in Aceh is not a final resolution to the Aceh conflict. Indeed, signs of stress are already being seen with the arguments over the implementation of Sharia law. (“Aceh passes adultery stoning law”, http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/8254631.stm, accessed Sept 2009)

Conflict management becomes easier with economic development; it is no coincidence that the worst conflicts occur in the relatively poorer regions of a country – Aceh, Papua, Southern Thailand, Mindanao in SEA, Northern Ireland, the Basque region in Western Europe. Good conflict management allows economic development to occur such that antipathies gradually fade and both sides feel sufficiently strong to be able to make compromises, which can lead finally to resolution of the conflict.

A further interesting point from Kivimäki was that increased democratization and media freedom may make conflict handling more difficult than in the past when Asian media were under strict control, allowing “quiet diplomacy” through personal contacts. A recent example is the spat between Malaysia and Indonesia resulting in the “sweeping” of Malaysians, harking back to the time of Sukarno and the konfrontasi. (“Activists conduct sweep on Malaysians”, Jakarta Post, http://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2009/09/08/activists-conduct-sweep-against-malaysians-street.html) The trigger for this activism was a Discovery Channel programme mistakenly using the Balinese Pendet dance to promote Malaysia as a tourist destination. The real context is Malaysian-Indonesian rivalry and the use of this rivalry for political gain. Manufactured outrage regarding the mistreatment of Indonesian migrant workers, particularly maids, or the use of the traditional song Rasa Sayang in Malaysian Tourism advertisements are examples of “fiery nationalistic demagoguery reviving or keeping alive primordial stereotypes” (Rütland, p547) but the demagoguery coming via free media rather than tightly-controlled government media.

I enjoyed Kivimäki’s example of the riot at Papua University as it was a concrete example. I was struck by the fact that the story could have been found from all over the world; a street confrontation, poor policing leading to a situation where there is no clear way for the crowd to disperse, a consequent rise in pressure (as in a boiler), and an explosion as the most volatile elements boil over into violence. The policing here was military in nature, i.e. entrapment of the enemy, rather than civilian, i.e. encouraging dispersal. The example, in my opinion, demonstrates the need for better police training, including a change in the mindset of police officers. To some extent this is already happening in Indonesia with the formal separation of the police and military. It should be noted that poor policing of protest is not a monopoly of developing SEA nations, as seen by the use/abuse of ‘kettling’ and unnecessary aggression at the G20 demonstration in London in April 2009.

To conclude, I would like to comment on the issue of national sovereignty. The SEA nations are in their current form relatively young nations (e.g. independence dates; Indonesia – 1949, Malaysia -1957, Philippines – 1946, Cambodia – 1953, Vietnam – 1945) and not defined ethnically or geographically. Thus, each nation is a unitary nation because of will – because they want to. Hopefully they will be able to emulate the success of a European “Willensnation” – Switzerland.

Finally, since over half of the population of the SEA nations follow Islam, maybe the Muslim greeting should be taken more literally: Salaam alaikum – Peace be with you.

Issues in Southeast Asia - Introduction

Issues in Southeast Asia

While tidying up my computer I came across some material from a course I followed last autumn, Contemporary Issues in Southeast Asia.

The course was taught through the internet as a distance-learning course, and I took the course just for fun. I didn’t formally complete the course, I don’t need university credits, but I did do one of the exercises, a so-called learning diary.

I’m not quite sure what a learning diary is and what form it should take. The instructions stated that its aim is “to summarize, analyse and comment on the course and lectures.” I wrote my little essays and opinion pieces about the lectures and uploaded them to the course website, expecting that other students might read them and in return I could read others’ opinions on the topics. This turned out not to be how the course was organised and my work, simplistic and from a layman’s perspective, just seemed to disappear into cyberspace.

Since time has passed, I feel free to post my learning diary texts for people to enjoy or ignore as they see fit. They are posted as they were written and the thoughts are those of the moment when they were written; I might very well have changed my mind.

The topics:

Lecture 1 – Introduction (no learning diary)
Lecture 2 – Peace and war in Southeast Asia: Trends and challenges
Lecture 3 – Climate change adaptation in Southeast Asia
Lecture 4 – Military reform in Indonesia
Lecture 5 – Islam in Southeast Asia: Islam and the challenges of freedom of religion or belief
Lecture 6 – Tourism in Southeast Asia: Challenges and new directions
Lecture 7 – Heritage, nationalism and identity in Southeast Asia
Lecture 8 – The political situation in Thailand: Contested democracy, the democratisation process, and the roles of civil society organizations
Lecture 9 – Burma-Myanmar: Beyond paradoxes and parameters
Lecture 10 – ASEAN regional economic integration: Southeast Asia as a business environment
Lecture 11 – Interlinkages of water and development in Southeast Asia: The Mekong River case
Lecture 12 – Gender discourses on migration and trafficking in the Mekong Region
Concluding comments about the course

Wednesday, 26 May 2010

World Cup

With the football World Cup imminent, I was recently interviewed by the newspaper Suomenmaa, the organ of the Finnish Centre Party, on my thoughts about the English national team's chances.


To read the full article you'll have to get hold of the newspaper, but a trailer, complete with photo, can be found here. Since the article is in Finnish, it might not help many of you, but for a laugh you can use Google Translate to get a flavour of what was said. Click here and then use 'copy and paste' to paste the URL address of the Finnish article into the translation box. Use your imagination to guess what I said.


I was also asked who I'd have as my starting eleven - a question which caught me out somewhat. So to entertain the real football experts, here is my (spontaneous) answer:

Goalkeeper: David James

Defenders: Ashley Cole, Ledley King, John Terry, Leighton Baines

Midfielders: James Milner, Gareth Barry, Michael Carrick, Frank Lampard
Forwards: Wayne Rooney, Peter Crouch


As my starting line-up is a little short on pace, Aaron Lennon can come on after a while. And Rio Ferdinand gets to play in the first game of the tournament so the team can benefit from his experience. The sharp-eyed will note that there is no room for Steven Gerrard. He plays for Liverpool F.C. so he gets to sit on the bench and chew his fingernails.


Who is going to be the 'star' of the World Cup? It has to be Vuvuzela!

Saturday, 22 May 2010

On the buses

Last weekend Henry went on a day trip to Helsinki with the church choir. He doesn't sing in the choir but his friend invited him along.

The bus left early and the trip included a visit to
Kaisaniemi Botanical Garden followed by a guided tour of Suomenlinna fortress.

While the plants were of interest, particularly the tropical plants, the most important part of the trip was the bus.

Below, a few photos.


The bus.


The back of the bus.


The bus from the front.


The driver's cab.


Bus and running friend.

Thursday, 20 May 2010

Spring 2

Finland has done its usual trick of moving from winter - boots, thick jackets, and gloves - to summer in the space of a week or so.

Everything blooms in one go, which is a problem for hay fever sufferers. (Birch and ash pollen generally causing the most problems.) The good news is that flowers blossom, bringing brighter colours into the natural world.

For your enjoyment, a couple of photos.


Daffodils


Tulips


Saturday, 8 May 2010

Spring

One glass of...

... birch sap.

When the snow melts and spring arrives, the sap rises. This is the time for one of Finland's delicacies - birch sap.


A hole is drilled into the trunk of a birch tree, and a short piece of pipe fitted. As the sap rises, it is collected in a bucket. The fluid is slightly cloudy and has a very delicate taste. Unfortunately, the season is very short indeed, and the birch sap spoils very quickly - it must be drunk within a couple of days.

Thanks are due to Terttu, our source of birch sap (and 'pulla' and Karelian pies).